Northern Trail Outfitters

Good Morning Sam,

Overview: Williams Sonoma Renewal

A month long renewal push for existing Williams Sonoma Reserve members nearing subscription expiry, starting from 2nd March.

Duration: Apr 4 - May 8 · 34 days

Agentic Summary

Similar Reserve renewal campaigns over 30 days with a $25k budget historically achieved $95k-$115k in renewal revenue. The sweet spot is around $100k.

68%

(+0.6%)

MES Success Forecast Score

Key Metrics

Goal target

On Track

$100,000

Revenue - KPI: Order

Budget

Calibrated

$25,000

30 days

Channels

Active

2

Email + SMS

Audience reached

On Track

200,000

United States · 60-day expiry window

Goal achievement vs forecast

Actual setup alignment to campaign target

Actual setup
Forecast path

Actual setup target: $100,000 (Revenue - KPI: Order)

Arbitration window: 30 days

Target 20,00020K7K0D1D14D30

Target $100,000

Budget Spend Trend

Cumulative spend · forecast continuation breaches $5K cap by day

Actual spend
Forecast spend
Strict cap

$25,000

Current approved budget from MES review

$25K breach on D28

Similar Reserve renewal campaigns over 30 days with a $25k budget historically achieved $95k-$115k in renewal revenue. The sweet spot is around $100k.

Normalized Cost Per Goal Unit

Derived from approved budget and audience size

Current
Baseline

$125

Estimated spend per 1K audience

Baseline $68

Cost line reflects the current approved setup and updates whenever budget or audience values are changed in MES review.

Channel Efficiency vs Baseline

Current channel mix from approved setup

Email CTR
Email forecast
SMS CTR
SMS forecast

50%

Email share across Email + SMS

Baseline 3%

Channel split is sourced from the final MES canvas review values, including any AI-adjusted edits before approval.

MES Changes

Apply changes from MES review to see a timeline here.

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